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Beijing’s Hallucinatory Bull Run: A Masterclass in Polishing a Structural Turd

Buck Valor
Written by
Buck ValorPersiflating Non-Journalist
Monday, September 29, 2025
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A satirical, dark-colored editorial cartoon showing a giant red dragon made of fragile glass and ticker-tape, perched on a pile of crumbling bricks labeled 'Property Debt'. A bureaucrat in a Mao suit is frantically painting the dragon's scales with neon green 'Stock Market' paint. The background is a smoggy, industrial wasteland with empty skyscrapers. Sharp, cynical aesthetic.

Observe the latest theater of the absurd emerging from the East, where the Chinese Communist Party has decided that the best way to fix a rotting house is to paint the windows bright gold so no one can see the structural collapse inside. The recent frantic upward tick in Chinese equities—a phenomenon orchestrated with all the grace of a puppet show performed by a drunk puppeteer—is being hailed by the usual suspects of the financial press as a 'miracle.' It is, in reality, a desperate attempt to ignore the stench of a rotting property sector by spraying the room with the cheap cologne of speculative fervor. The so-called 'wealth effect,' that holy grail of consumer-driven growth, is a cruel joke played on a populace that has seen its primary store of value—the four walls of an unfinished apartment—evaporate into the ether of developer insolvency.

The premise is simple enough for even a mid-tier state bureaucrat to grasp: if you make the numbers on the screen turn green, the peasants will feel rich enough to stop hoarding their yuan and start buying the latest state-approved plastic garbage. But this logic ignores the fundamental physics of the economic abyss. A rally built on the shifting sands of central bank liquidity and regulatory decrees is not an indicator of health; it is a fever dream. When the State decides that the market shall rise, it is not a signal of value; it is an ultimatum. Yet, the global financial gentry, ever the gluttons for a 'buy the dip' narrative, have rushed back in like moths to a dumpster fire, convinced that this time, the centrally planned euphoria will finally trick the laws of supply and demand into submission.

The tragedy of the 'wealth effect' in this context is that it serves only to deepen the distortion. By funneling what little remains of public confidence into a volatile equity market, the authorities are effectively encouraging the citizenry to gamble their way out of a systemic crisis. This is not economic stewardship; it is a government-sponsored Ponzi scheme designed to distract from the fact that the manufacturing sector is wheezing and the youth unemployment rate is high enough to make a French revolutionary blush. If the market goes up, the CCP claims credit for its visionary leadership. If it crashes—as all artificially inflated bubbles eventually must—the retail investors who were lured in by the promise of easy gains will be left holding a bag filled with nothing but dust and disappointment.

Furthermore, this obsession with market optics ignores the 'other ways' such a rally impacts the real economy—mostly by making it harder to fix the actual problems. When capital is sucked into the vortex of a speculative stock boom, it isn't being used for anything productive. It isn't funding innovation or clearing the mountain of local government debt that threatens to swallow the interior provinces whole. Instead, it becomes a game of financial musical chairs, played at high speed while the music is being piped in from a command center in Beijing. The distortion of capital allocation is profound. Real businesses, the kind that actually produce things people want, find themselves sidelined while the 'casino' becomes the only game in town.

Western analysts, those performative sycophants who change their outlook as often as they change their silk ties, are currently busy debating the 'sustainability' of this rally. They treat the Chinese economy like a complex machine that just needs the right combination of buttons pressed, rather than what it is: a vast, interconnected web of debt, demographics, and authoritarian ego. They ignore the historical parallel of every other state-mandated boom, which invariably ends in a state-mandated bust, leaving the poorest to suffer the consequences. The greed of the Right in the West sees a 'growth opportunity' in a house of cards, while the Left’s performative concern for global stability ignores the fact that this entire system is built on the backs of a workforce that is being told to spend money it doesn't have on stocks that don't represent reality.

Ultimately, this rally is a symptom of a deeper malaise—the inability of the modern state to accept the consequences of its own mismanagement. Rather than face the grueling, decades-long process of deleveraging and structural reform, the powers that be have opted for the quick fix of a market pump. It is a cynical maneuver designed to buy time for a regime that is running out of it. The rally won't save the economy; it will only ensure that when the final bill comes due, it will be even more catastrophic than it would have been otherwise. But until then, the ticker tape will continue to scroll, the numbers will flicker in their deceptive neon hues, and everyone involved will pretend that everything is just fine. It is a pathetic display, and we are all forced to watch.

This story is an interpreted work of social commentary based on real events. Source: The Economist

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